Jul
29
University Hills and Austin 78723 Real Estate Market Snapshot
Posted by garreth under Uncategorized
I just completed my monthly analysis of real estate in University Hills and compared it to surrounding subdivisions in 78723. In brief, sales volume is down over last year and prices are up on last year with University Hills seeing a higher proportion of owner agent sales than the other areas (real estate agents selling their own homes) which is a fair indicator of home rehabbing and resale.
| Year | # sales | % change in sales | Average sale price | Average sale price to list price ratio |
Average days on market |
| 2008 | 26 | -26% | $189,382 | 98% | 63 |
| 2007 | 35 | +21% | $166,546 | 99% | 39 |
| 2006 | 29 | -67% | $144,888 | 98% | 33 |
| 2005 | 43 | +80% | $126,250 | 95% | 59 |
| 2004 | 24 | +33% | $112,114 | 98% | 38 |
This table shows the relative sales price and sales volume for single family homes in University Hills up to July 28th each year. The number of sales has decreased significantly from last year, in line with all sales in the East Austin area which has seen a 25.7% drop in sales over last year. The month of July has seen a 47.4% drop in sales in East Austin in general over last June, but there has been only a 20% drop in closed sales in University Hills during the same period.
| Royal Oak | University Hills |
Windsor Park | Mueller ** | 78723 | |
| Homes for sale | 10 | 23 | 18 | 14 | 113 |
| Homes pending | 0 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 33 |
| Homes sold (to 7/28) |
4 | 26 | 14 | 10 | 110 |
| Average List Price |
$222,147 | $199,296 | $204,406 | $479,303 | $240,586 |
| Median Sale Price / sqft |
$115 | $114 | $161 | $168 | $127 |
** All data from MLS single family home sales. The majority of the new homes at Mueller are not sold through the MLS, so this just represents a portion of the homes sold or available there.
There are plenty of homes for sale in University Hills, and the median sales price per square foot is lower than in neighboring subdivisions “ buyers can still get a good choice and more house for their money! There are still less than six months of inventory in University Hills, so the market is still approaching a balanced market. With so many homes to choose from, buyers are going to find and choose the best marketed and best staged homes first! Seven of the sales in University Hills this year have been of real estate agent owned homes, which is a higher proportion than for the whole of 78723. This means that home sellers need to be prepared to compete with professionally managed flip properties, and prepare and stage their homes well.
Garreth Wilcock is a REALTOR ® who sold his home in Univsersity Hills last month but still lives in 78723. He blogs about University Hills Real Estate, and publishes a local newsletter, and enjoys helping people prepare their homes for sale.
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Jul
28
Upgrade Your Real Estate Agent – Twice the Power in MLXchange 4.0
Posted by garreth under Uncategorized
Increases to the amount of text available to describe homes in the Austin area Multiple Listing System (MLS) have been rolled out today. This is an improvement on the current system, but I feel that basic changes in MLXchange 4.0 are coming very slowly, and today’s REALTOR ® has to work around the system and augment it with many other products.
When you sell your home, you want to wax lyrical about its features and the things that make it a unique offering to the buying market. You want to tell the world why they should ignore the other homes in your area, with the same number of bedrooms, the same size and the same lot characteristics. The marketing materials you want will show beautiful photos of your home, taken at the best time of day when the sun hits the front elevation, or the pool, or whatever makes your home special. In another part, you want to paint a picture in words so that a buyer can evaluate whether they have just found a home that excites them.
So how is this done in the Multiple Listing System – the subscription based system that REALTORS ® can use to promote your listing to the world? Until today, the MLXchange 4.0 system used by Austin area REALTORS ® allowed only 255 characters of descriptive text to tell your home’s story. But today it has been upgraded to a whopping 512 characters. Now I can see you’re jumping up and down with excitement at this huge increase in capacity. In my opinion, it’s too little, too late for the tech-savvy REALTORS ® out there.
I spent ten years in IT consulting, and one of the key principles that my company espoused was agility – the ability to adapt and change information systems at the pace required by a business to maintain its competitive advantage. In a nutshell, the information systems serve the business systems, and support change and flexibility in an organization’s systems and processes.
Putting a listing in the MLS has been an exercise in classified advertisement authoring for me – using abbreviations and poor sentence structure to cram all of the information into 255 characters. In other systems, I don’t have a limitation. For example, I also add my listings to Postlets.com. I want the data to be syndicated far and wide across the internet, as I don’t have to pay a “per-word fee” as I would to advertise in the Austin Statesman’s Classified Section. Postlets takes care of syndication of my text, and doesn’t place any limit to the amount of text I can write.
I have a number of web resources like Postlets.com which I use to increase the impact of listing marketing. And now, MLXchange is catching up with its syndication offerings. I’ve been augmenting my listings with additional text in alternate systems, and now MLXchange is catching up by increasing the text field to 500+ characters. But the new functionality is coming slowly. I’m looking forward to an increased capacity to add statistical information to CMAs. I do this already using other systems, but on August 1st, ABoR is offering MarketMetrics Market Reports like this one to it’s REALTOR ® members.

So the base level of tools is improving, but are REALTORS ® using them? I decided to take a look. I exported data from MLS to see how other REALTORS ® in MLS Area Four and MLS Area Three are using the currently available 255 character text limit in their active single family home listings. The graph above shows that most are using the majority of the space available to them in both MLS areas. In Area 3, only 20% of the listings have under 180 characters, and only 11% do in area 4. Alarmingly, there are several listings in each where less than ten characters of marketing description have been used.
Personally, I try to get as much as possible out of the tools available. I believe in agile information systems, and I make sure that I augment the slow to change systems that I use with more innovative ones. I hope no-one ever calls me a traditional REALTOR ®.
Garreth Wilcock is a non-traditional REALTOR ® eager to harness the power of the internet. He blogs about Austin Real Estate.
Jul
22
Carriage Returns at Mueller Austin
Posted by garreth under Uncategorized
For those looking for something a little different at Mueller – Austin’s green mixed-use airport redevelopment project, two of the builders are offering homes with garage apartments or carriage houses. But do they make sense economically?
First, let’s look at the offerings.
Standard Pacific Homes has two floor plans which include an apartment over the garage, the Andrews – 3051sqft, 4 bedrooms, 3.5 baths, and the Duren 3140sqft, 4 bedrooms and 3.5 baths. Above the garage in each is a living space with a bedroom, bathroom, living area and kitchenette. The garage apartment shares the same utilities as the main home, but the community does allow them to be rented out.
Streetman Homes also has two floor plans with an optional carriage house – living space above the garage. The Rio Grande at 3235sqft with 3 bedrooms and 3 baths and the Brazos at 3150sqft with 3 bedrooms and 3 baths. The Streetman floor plans have different configurations for the carriage house – living space, bedroom and bathroom options are available.
One thing I noticed yesterday is that the home finder at MuellerAustin.com only currently allows you to search by “optional carriage house” so unless you knew about the guest accomodations that come as part of the Standard Pacific offerings, you might not find them!
Now do they make sense economically if you wanted to rent them out? Depending on the specifications and upgrades, you might rent out a unit for $750 per month, plus utilities. Taking a 30 year fixed mortgage at a 5.75% interest rate, and assuming a 7% vacancy rate and a 5% maintenance rate, that would net $660 per month. Making approximations for property taxes of 2.5% and insurance for the additional space at $100 annually, that could pay off a potential additional $76,000 of mortgage. Now granted, the homes cost upward of $500,000 and the buyers may not be thinking of renting out the space, but it’s always good to know that you have the option of someone else paying off $76,000 of equity for you!
Garreth Wilcock is a Realtor ® living, and working in (and blogging about) Mueller, Austin. Search for available homes at Mueller at his website, or contact him to talk more about life at Mueller.
Jul
21
The Economics Of Local
Posted by garreth under Uncategorized
The US national economy is the subject of much media attention right now, and I thought I’d do a little digging to see some of the differences between the national and local housing markets based on a recent article in The New York Times – Uncomfortable Answers To Questions on the Economy.
The article talks about unemployment rising, plummeting house prices and rising energy costs. I don’t think rising energy prices are something that most consumers will dispute, but given that I haev access to MLS sales data, I thought I’d investigate the claim of plummeting house prices, at least in Austin, Texas and around. I know I’ve had several listings that have had multiple offers in the last few months, and two that have had full-priced offers from “coming soon” signs in the yard. So when I read “How Bad Is Housing” in the article, I know that this is a generalization for the whole of the US.

The article claims that house prices might need to adjust downward 10-15% to correct the market after prices soared above the levels of income needed to support them. One measure it uses to assess the inflation of house prices is the ratio of rent price to sales price.”From 1985 to 2002, the average American home sold for about 14 times the annual rent for a similar home, according to Moody™s Economy.com…By early 2006, home prices ballooned to 25 times rental prices”. How does this hold up in Austin? I was recently at a local real estate investment seminar, and the ratio used in our models for monthly rent to purchase price was 0.8% to 0.9%. Over a year this amounts to 9.2 to 10.4 times – far below the national average. So from that measure, Austin is still in good shape!
If you look at the CNN Money list of best places to live, you can see some other interesting statistics about Austin. In terms of personal energy consumption, Austinites commute less far than the other top cities in the review (median commute time of 19.7 minutes in Austin versus 23 minutes in the others, and 8.7% of population with a commute of over 45 minutes in Austin as opposed to 15.7% in the others). In times of high gas prices, that means Austin is a good place right?
The Real Estate Center at Texas A&M produces a monthly economy report. You can compare Texas to the rest of the US where the New York Times article claims “jobs are disappearing” by checking out the June Economy Report. Unemployment rates in Texas as a whole are only marginally up as of June 2008 – a rise from 4.4% to 4.5% from May 2007 to 2008 as compared to 4.5% to 5.5% for the whole of the US.
Then to address “plummeting house prices”, I looked at the MLS data for June 2008 compared to June 2007 in the Greater Austin area. Guess what? The median sold price for June increased 4.7% from last year according to Alamo Title.
So all things considered, as I said in my earlier article on affordability in Austin, national economics affect the supply of money – inflation, interest rates and jobs. But metro and local economic factors really make a difference to your ability to buy and sell homes. After all, unless you’re a national builder, most people tend to buy and sell homes in a local market, and as I said before, if you’re selling in French Place you’ll see a different picture to the national picture right now.
Garreth Wilcock is a licensed Texas real estate agent who blogs about Austin real estate, and is passionate about the differences between national economics and local real estate markets.
Jul
19
Putting Mueller on the Map – Or At Least Finding It
Posted by garreth under Uncategorized
Mueller, for those who have had their heads in the sand for the last three years, is a master planned community – an urban village in the heart of Austin, Texas. It combines mixed use development – single and multi family residential, commercial and retail development centered around the concept of new urbanism. The public forum to discuss the upcoming town center is coming up soon. Phase II of the residential build is already selling, and things seem to be booming.
The one fly in the ointment, common with all new developments is that you can’t map it. Sure, there are giant billboards as you travel North on I35 saying that you can turn off at Airport Boulevard to get to Mueller, but if you put one of the new streets such as Lawless into your GPS, then it draws a blank. Type McCloskey into google maps and you won’t get directions. Type Mueller, Austin, TX 78723 into google maps and you’ll see a large empty area of airport, but no streets.
This can be a minor annoyance when inviting people to your house warming party, but it can have more serious implications for people using the MLS and related sites to search for homes at Mueller.
New homes are well covered by the MuellerAustin.com site which now has a great Mueller home finder tool. And some builders are putting their inventory into the MLS. This evening, there are 16 available Mueller homes in the MLS. Four of them have been placed in the actual area of Mueller, as you can see in the screenshot on the right.
The upshot of this is quite brutal for the MLS searcher – if they define a map area over the Mueller site, only four show up. This can be amended in the MLS by manually positioning the listing in the correct area. However, many of the third party integration tools rely on other mapping information, and non-existant roads in their systems results in zero homes found in the area.
Inevitably, in any new development, home owner’s circumstances change, and they need to sell their homes while the builders are still building new homes. Without the right advice, this process tends to be a challenge, and more so if when you put your home in the MLS it doesn’t appear in geographic searches. People selling their homes in Mueller will have to compete with the builders and MuellerAustin.com and it’s interactive map to market to buyers. Quite a tall order.
So until the maps get updated, don’t expect the pizza delivery service to know where your home is, and rely on the local experts and the muelleraustin.com site to tell you what’s available at Mueller.
Garreth Wilcock is a Realtor ® working and living in Austin’s Mueller Development, and loves helping buyers find and close on their new homes.
Jul
19
Mueller Update – The New Green Urbanism Roars into Phase II
Posted by garreth under Uncategorized
I live and work in Mueller – the new development at the Robert Mueller Airport in Austin, Texas. I’ve already drunk the Kool-aid and enjoy what the development offers – a great new community, a planned town center and sidewalks with children playing on tricycles spring to mind. It’s a shining example of the new urbanism and is being lapped up by homebuyers in Austin.
The slump in new builds in the rest of the nation is noticeably absent in the Catellus development – the largest development so close to downtown Austin in decades (just 3 miles away as per the MuellerAustin.com factsheet). It combines many of the features of new urbanism with green sensibilities. The builders are all moving ahead in the heavily subscribed Phase II of development with local builders like Muskin, Saldana, and national builders like Streetman Homes, Standard Pacific Homes, David Weekley and Meritage all writing contracts at a fearsome pace.
Streetman Homes understandably had a waiting list for the lots on Mendez Street which is right opposite Ella Wooten Park. This is one of the first neighborhood parks to be built in the development with a sports court, swimming pool and playground. Despite the generalizations you hear about buyers’ markets in the rest of the nation, this was very definitely a seller’s market!
A visit to David Weekley to look at their new row homes shows a typical story. They recently opened four model two storey row homes – The Bonnell at 1562sqft, The Westlake at 1690 sqft, the Balcones at 1837sqft and the Waterloo at 1967sqft. Though they have been open less than a month, when I visited on Thursday, eleven of the planned builds were under contract. There are only a few comparable homes in the area in the $249k and up price range (and they are flanking the streets opposite Mueller), so this is where Mueller is really making the market.
Mueller is flourishing – one of the goals of new urbanism is to make the community self-governing. MuellerCommunity.com is a fantastic information resource – a forum for residents to share information and a different side of the story to the informational website at MuellerAustin.com. I’m glad to be helping people move here – it’s hard not to be excited about the neighborhood!
Garreth Wilcock is a Mueller resident and Realtor ® and enjoys helping homebuyers negotiate great deals on homes at Mueller and beyond.
Jul
8
Form Follows Function
Posted by garreth under Uncategorized
From time to time, I come across buyers or sellers who are going it alone – performing real estate transactions without advice from a Realtor ® or real estate agent. Their motive is usually to attempt to save the money on hiring a professional to represent them. From what I’ve seen so far, it can be like trying to do your friend’s dental work with lots of good intentions, a hammer, and no real training. You might save a bit of money, but you end up with a bloody mess. And your friend may sue you when he looks in a mirror.
Last week, I had a call from a distressed buyer. He had seen a website which allowed him to hire a Realtor ® to represent him in the purchase of a home he’d already located and get a rebate from the Realtor ® at closing. The theory goes that using popular property search tools online, an educated buyer can locate their own property, and simply work with a Realtor ® on contract negotiation and closing. The Realtor ® then gives a rebate to the hard working client at closing.
Sound good? It misses a few points. The first is that there is information that members of the local real estate boards are party to that consumers are not which are useful in the search process. How long has the property been on the market, what does it look like inside, what was the selling price of the comparable properties (there is public domain record of a home’s sales price in Texas). The second is that a competent local Realtor ® will have insight into the market, pricing, and various economic factors – they’ll have access to tools like the new ABoR market analysis tool (available in August 2008), and be able to give advice on each property identified.
And this is where the discount buyer was fretting. He didn’t know if the houses were appreciating, depreciating or what he should offer. He didn’t know the market conditions, average days on market. He wanted help with a pricing strategy. He wanted to know how long it would take to close, and if he could get out of his current apartment in time. He was stressed, and about to leap into making probably the largest purchase of his life. In trying to save money, he was about to risk an awful lot of money by betting on what might have been the wrong horse.
I pride myself on earning my fees, as I’m sure many Realtors ® do. I can save a buyer from choosing an inappropriate home, and help them negotiate a great deal on a home that’s right for them. It’s what I do every day. I can understand the desire to save money, and heck, I’m from England where bad teeth apparently abound, but I’m not going to do a friend’s root canal to save him a buck or two.
Another situation was when a friend called me up and asked what forms he should use to buy a home without a Realtor ®. I told him that there are some Texas Real Estate Commission promulgated forms, that he could download. There’s a disclaimer on the TREC web site where you get the forms, and having seen some well-written contracts and some poorly written ones, I think it’s accurate; you can fill the forms in yourself, but there are terms which have distinct advantages to one side or another. Filling in the forms and agreeing a contract which doesn’t say what you think it says can lead to disaster.

Checking the wrong box can easily cost a buyer their earnest money or worse if things don’t go according to plan. There are many terms to a contract beyond sales price and close date – good advice from a professional who has spent a minimum of 210 classroom hours studying real estate and who writes contracts every day is easily worth the fees of a Realtor ® in my opinion. The United States has 70% of the world’s lawyers, and when you sign your name on a contract, there can be extremely serious consequences.
Sure, I can tell you that the most common situations require a Third Party Financing Addendum, and a One to Four Family Residential Contract (Resale), and that you need a legal description which you might find in the tax record. But I’ve seen a check box in the wrong place on the third party financing contingency which has cost a buyer close to $20,000 when their loan couldn’t be underwritten, and they were locked into the contract.
To round it off, before I became a Realtor ®, I had no idea how much was involved in protecting a client and giving them great advice during a transaction, and how many complex scenarios could arise. And as they say, the most expensive advice is free advice, so make sure you’re properly represented by a licensed professional where it counts – whether a real estate agent, a dentist or a CPA!
Garreth Wilcock blogs about real estate in Central Texas, where he earns his fees and gives the best real estate advice he can!
Jul
8
Keep on Loaning – FHA and The Gift Economy
Posted by garreth under Uncategorized
US mortgage rates are at a 9 month high, and buyers are still looking for good deals. FHA mortgages are certainly a popular product for loans under $288,750 (Travis and Williamson counties FHA loan limit)
The good news for Austin is the increase in FHA loan limits for our area earlier this year. FHA loans allow buyers to get into a home with a minimum 3% down payment with a 97% loan. The gift programs are still available too – this means that it is possible for a seller to contribute towards the buyer’s closing costs using something like the Nehemiah program.
For example:
FHA loan #1 – no gift program:
Sales price: $220,000 Downpayment: $6,600 (3%) Loan: $213,400
In this scenario, the buyer would have to bring perhaps $6,600 down + $10,000 other closing costs = $16,600
The seller would net $220,000 minus seller closing costs
FHA loan #2 with gift program:
Sales price: $230,000 Downpayment: $6,900 (3%) Loan: $223,100 Gift from seller via Nehemiah: $10,000
In this scenario, the buyer would have to bring perhaps $6,900 down + $10,000 other closing costs – $10,000 gift from seller = $6,900
The seller would net $230,000 minus seller closing costs minus $10,000 (seller gift),which is the same as for FHA loan #1 (give or take a few seller expenses which are proportional to sales price)
The seller’s home needs to appraise for an extra $10,000 in loan #2 to collateralize the mortgage, and it’s certainly a way for buyers to get into a home for less cash to close. These kind of tactics are keeping the offers coming in on my listings, and prices in most of the areas I’m working in are still riding high.
Garreth Wilcock is an Austin Realtor ® who blogs about Austin Real Estate.